Showing posts with label Infrastructure. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Infrastructure. Show all posts

TNR Gold Corp.: Los Azules Copper Project Court Date Set for Summer 2011 tnr.v, abx, ng.to, czx.v, ngq.to, mai.to, bhp, rio, tck, bvn, gg, fcx, nem, auy, bwr.to, cs.to, imn.to, ncu.to, tko.to, wrn.to, qux.to, bls.to

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"Los Azules emerges in this light as a very important Copper deposit with a lot of upside in its valuation among the leaders in this particular quality, relatively high CAPEX requirements, but in the solid middle or to the higher band in a lot of different investment metrics compare to the other juniors in the analysis provided by CIBC."

It is very important that, according to CIBC report page 42, legal claims of TNR Gold are communicated properly within the industry now. Junior can fully rely on its litigation strategy, court decision or potential out-of-the-court settlement, should Minera Andes decide to clean the house before calling the real estate agents. 
We will always leave it to the lawyers and court to decide - who owns what in this case in its proper time.
Copper is going up and the deposit is growing - we guess that nobody is in a hurry here. Argentina will become more fluent in Mandarin and the value of every lb of Copper in the ground will go up - to reflect fundamental picture described in the CIBC report."

Please, do not forget, that we own stocks we are writing about and have position in these companies. We are not providing any investment advise on this blog and there is no solicitation to buy or sell any particular company here. Always consult with your qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.






StockWatch:





2010-11-04 18:05 ET - News Release

Mr. Gary Schellenberg reports


TNR GOLD CORP.: LOS AZULES COPPER PROJECT COURT DATE SET FOR SUMMER 2011


TNR Gold Corp.'s litigation in the Supreme Court of British Columbia related to the Los Azules project in Argentina, involving TNR, Minera Andes Inc., MIM Argentina Exploraciones S.A. (Xstrata) and related entities, has been joined for hearing and scheduled for a new trial date of June 20 to July 15, 2011. The trial will be held in Vancouver.





As disclosed by TNR in Stockwatch on May 17, 2010, the subject of the legal actions is TNR's right to back-in to 25 per cent of certain properties constituting the Los Azules project. The Los Azules project is an advanced exploration project currently reporting a National Instrument 43-101-compliant inferred resource. MAI and Xstrata are contesting TNR's ability to exercise its back-in right. TNR is vigorously pursuing its claim and opposing MAI's efforts to deny the back-in right.
The company encourages interested parties to review the amended statement of defence and counterclaim in their entirety on its website for a better understating of TNR's position.
It should be noted that the statement of defence and counterclaim are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, sources of factual, business or operational information about TNR or any of its affiliates. The statement of defence and counterclaim contain assertions that have been prepared solely for use in connection with the legal dispute with MAI and Xstrata, have not been proven and should, therefore, not be relied upon.
We seek Safe Harbor."





We are checking the new presentations and Los Azules Maps on Minera Andes website - it looks like, according to Rob Mcewen on page 22, stepping out hole with 1.12% Cu over 62.5m and four best holes:
#46 1.08% Cu over 145 m;
#48 1.01% Cu over 216 m;
#49 1.05% Cu over 236 m and
#61 1.04% Cu over 168 m
 are all based on the Northern Part of the property, which is under this litigation. 







We have now another followers from Metal Augmentor:

TNR Gold (TSX-V: TNR; Pink Sheets: TRRXF)
Minera Andes (TSX: MAI; OTCBB: MNEAF)
TNR Gold Corp.: Los Azules Copper Project Court Date Set for Summer 2011 - November 4, 2010
There is probably very little that will happen with the Los Azules project while TNR Gold’s claim to a 25% back-in right to a portion of the Los Azules project is litigated over the next year or so. That isn’t necessarily a big deal since neither the present valuation of TNR Gold nor Minera Andes relies much if at all on Los Azules. On the other hand, Los Azules could start looking more and more attractive to mining companies as other large South American copper projects are developed in the next few years, leaving fewer major properties in the pipeline. As mentioned previously, we do consider Los Azules as a likely development prospect, despite its remote, high altitude location, because the “layout” of the mineralization is favorable in comparis0n to many other large porphyry copper deposits. Thus, we do expect that Los Azules will command a substantial valuation at some point in the future, making the outcome of the TNR Gold dispute a relevant matter for investors with patience.
With respect to that dispute, Minera Andes appears to have an obvious legal edge based on a literal reading of the option agreement and this will be difficult for TNR Gold to overcome. By no means, however, does Minera Andes have a cakewalk on its hands given that it is unusual (even suspicious) for an optionee’s back-in right to be for a minority non-operating interest conditioned on performance by the optioner. Since the 36 month condition was a modification of the original letter of understanding, which had an open-ended back-in right, the legal merit of the case could very well come down to determining what if any new value was received by TNR Gold in exchange for allowing the 36 month condition (which clearly works against TNR Gold’s benefit). As the hearing nears and assuming we think there is some speculative money to be made, we’ll try to find and read through the agreements to see if TNR Gold did indeed appear to receive something in exchange for the loss of benefit due to the 36 month restriction. [Silverax]'

It is important to remember, that now, according to this NR, all litigation around Los Azules between TNR Gold, Minera Andes and Xstrata is joined in one trial and TNR Gold will seek, according to the Statement of Defence above, not only rectification of the option agreement to reflect its true intentions - without 36 months condition, but that "production of a feasibility study, whether produced within 36 months or some other time, was a condition solely for the benefit of Solitario (TNR Gold sub - S.), and as such, could be waived".


Also at stake is Escorpio IV property: 
"We did not understand why Minera Andes did not accepted the back in right by TNR Gold and lost opportunity to consolidate the project and secure a very important Escorpio IV property, where according to Minera Andes mining plan part of mining facilities supposed to be located, but Rob McEwen must has his own strategy. With this kind of presentation it will be not cheap any more to settle out of the court, but it is always better then drag such a project in litigation for years to come."
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Canada Zinc Metals drills 9.82 m of 7.69% Zn+Pb at Cardiac czx.v, lun.to, tnr.v, bwr.to, cs.to, imn.to, ncu.to, tko.to, wrn.to, qux.to, rio, bls.to, tck

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This company is in a consolidation pattern - nobody wants it - apart from Chinese giant Tongling, another Chinese investor and Lundin Mining, which is still sniffing around this deposit. Will it be in the end the same "nobody wants time" as we had with other juniors this August? We do not know, but we like the things, which insiders or industry leaders or both are buying. We had a very exciting run after summer napping time in Almaden Minerals, Copper Fox Metals, Goldstone Resources, Sunridge Gold, Avino Silver, Alkane Resources, NGeX Resources, Revett Minerals - to name a few among other companies. 

Canada Zinc Metals and TNR Gold are still lagging the performance and they are late to the QE party, but whether it is still a buying opportunity will be decided by the Mr Market in the end, as usual.

What is the common sense in the so different investment situations: when Erick Sprott  buys into Avino Silver, Silver Wheaton buys into Revett Minerals, Lukas Lundin buys into NGeX Resources and invest more to keep its stake in Sunridge Gold, Panasonic buys into Tesla, Tongling buys into Canada Zinc Metals and Nova Gold sells 50% of 1 mil NON 43-101 historical resource of gold at Shotgun for shares of TNR Gold and significantly increase its position in that company? All these situations are common only in one, but very powerful in investment world thing: industry and/or company insiders are buying in. Can they be mistaken - yes, by all means - but we like to follow the "smart" money.

Tongling, apparently, has spent some time and money with one of the leading consultants in the industry on DD before making a decision to increase its stake to over 30% in Canada Zinc Metals. Time will tell you and us, as usual - who is making mistake us or the market in pricing of this M&A situation in Canada with Chinese deep pockets. Catalyst will be:

1. Closing of Tongling financing.
2. Higher zinc and lead prices (QE multiplied by Zinc shortage, according to some reports).
4. New discoveries at the North Lead anomaly.
5. Lukas Lundin involvement.

Email from the Company:


Please find below, for your information, an excerpt from the November 3, 2010 “Metals Morning Note” issued by Salman Partners of Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.

Regards,

Canada Zinc Metals Corp.

TSX.V: CZX; Frankfurt : A0F7E1
“Zinc
The world is exhausting its mines”
“Teck Resources Inc…. also gave a bullish outlook for zinc in its investor day presentation, pointing out – as we have – that a series of mine closures beginning in 2012 is likely to lead to a growing global shortage of mined zinc.”

__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
About Canada Zinc Metals Corp.
Canada Zinc Metals is a mineral exploration company focused on unlocking the potential of a future long life mining district in British Columbia, Canada.   The Company is the dominant land holder in a world class mineral belt called the Kechika Trough which hosts in excess of 80 million tonnes of base metal resources.   Canada Zinc Metals owns a total of 78,526 hectares in 233 claims which extend northwestward from the Akie property for a distance of 125 km.
The Company has filed a NI 43-101 report supporting the estimated inferred resource of 23.6 million tonnes grading 7.6% Zn, 1.5% Pb and 13.0 g/t Ag (at a 5% Zn cut off grade) at its flagship Akie property.  Using this estimate, the deposit contains 3.95 billion pounds of zinc, 780 million pounds of lead and 8.95 million ounces of silver.  The deposit remains open in all directions.
Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group and Lundin Mining are significant shareholders of the Company.
Please visit us at www.canadazincmetals.com
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Lundin Mining drills 36.5 m of 1.44% Cu at Neves-Cuevo, earns $59-million (U.S.) in Q3 lun.to, czx.v, tnr.v, sgc.v, tck, bhp, fcx, rio, bwr.to, cs.to, imn.to, ncu.to, tko.to, wrn.to, qux.to, bls.to

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  Yesterday, some headlines suggested that Lundin Mining missed estimate with its reported Q3 numbers - we are not following it yet at the depth sufficient to give here any comments on existing estimations. Earnings reported are mixed with different one time charges and we will need to dig it deeper in order to understand how financials will be effected in the short term by the announced reduced outlook for production for 2010. Nothing so far changed our own valuation and the big picture outlook.
  We are here to talk about the big picture and where this company is positioned in it. It is the play on Tenke Fungurume growth with its Cobalt and Copper production. If you believe in Friedland's future - it is about next 30 years when "phenomeon" of electric cars will drive the demand in Green metal and Lithium. Lundin Mining at these levels will be a potential target for acquisition for the slice of Tenke Fungurume. Freeport McMoran will be the natural suitor and should bid, in our view, at least for the Tenke Fungurume stake - if not for the all company. Another combination from FCX and LUN  will be to announce further expansion in production and sell all this story to the Chinese interests, who are positioned very strongly in the DRC.
    Financial Times picked up the most important for the Lundin Mining future, which market will have yet to reflect in its valuation. "Perception of risk surrounding the Tenke licence increased in August when Canada's First Quantum Minerals was stripped of the last assets in Congo." Market knew about this situation before and Lundin Mining was sold into the ground to  below 3.0CAD during last summer.
   Now, with Tenke Fungurume in full play Lundin Mining will be an easy target below 6.0CAD. Financials will drag the company for a while on the operational side, but Tenke's potential will be the blue sky here. New discovery in Europe will help to the whole picture of resources controlled by this company. The company is highly leveraged to Copper and Zinc prices as well.
     The most interesting will be to see how Lukas Lundin will use this opportunity and address its own growth prospects. Company has 300 mil credit line and can use its own currency for further acquisitions. On the technical side company has made a break out of Cup and Handle pattern to the upside, these days  stock is testing the break out level at CAD6.0 and provide an entry point according to our logic. We will monitor the new research notes coming out - to address the full potential of Tenke Fungurume for the company.

Lundin Mining Q3 presentation

"We believe that Lukas Lundin will have to make his move and show that now - with cash flow from Tenke Fungurume and further expansion of production in DRC - he can build value in Lundin Mining itself. Realisation of the facts, described above, by the market could bring the share price north of CAD10.0 (we will not be surprised to see a target price of this magnitude with company's book value at around CAD5.2 now and E/P at CAD 0.13 in Q2 2010). Lukas will be again in a very favorable position after these very tough few years for the company. He can and should use his currency - shares in the company above CAD10.0 to buy another companies with sizable projects at still undervalued valuations among juniors. He should definitely, in our opinion, to study well opportunities for acquisition in CIBC report. His another company - NGeX Resources is a part of that M&A list with its properties in Argentina, Chile, Africa and Canada is moving up nicely in price these days as well. TNR Gold has a few J/V projects with NGeX Resources in Argentina. Lukas Lundin was buying recently NGeX Resources in the market.
  We won't speculate about Lundin Mining involvement, potentially, in Los Azules story, but will point to the few facts, which are keeping us guessing about the future move. Lukas was personally involved in TNR Gold as an investor at one point, knows management there very well and Paul Conibear - Senior Vice president of Lundin Mining corporate development - served on the Board of TNR Gold for a few years. By the way - Tenke Fungurume is his baby - we would like to congratulate Paul and all team at Lunidin Mining with this ground breaking achievement for the company. Lukas was investing in Minera Andes before as well, at least before Rob McEwen came into the picture. We do not know, what stake he has now, but he knows the story about Los Azules very well. Rob is more of a gold guy and Lukas knows the basic metals commodity story very well, particularly copper. Will it make sense for Rob to sell Los Azules to Lukas Lundin at the right price after settlement with TNR Gold and clearing the property title? We do not know at this moment, but any twist in this direction can bring a new dynamic to the all situation regarding Los Azules and its development. It is too early to say more about it at this moment."
  

  

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Sunridge Gold completes $10-million private placement, Lundin Mining keeps its stake sgc.v, lun.to, czx.v, tnr.v, ngq.to, bnp, rio, fcx, tck, bwr.to, cs.to, imn.to, ncu.to, tko.to, wrn.to, qux.to, bls.to,

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"We believe that Lukas Lundin will have to make his move and show that now - with cash flow from Tenke Fungurume and further expansion of production in DRC - he can build value in Lundin Mining itself. Realisation of the facts, described above, by the market could bring the share price north of CAD10.0 (we will not be surprised to see a target price of this magnitude with company's book value at around CAD5.2 now and E/P at CAD 0.13 in Q2 2010). Lukas will be again in a very favorable position after these very tough few years for the company. He can and should use his currency - shares in the company above CAD10.0 to buy another companies with sizable projects at still undervalued valuations among juniors. He should definitely, in our opinion, to study well opportunities for acquisition in CIBC report. His another company - NGeX Resources is a part of that M&A list with its properties in Argentina, Chile, Africa and Canada is moving up nicely in price these days as well. TNR Gold has a few J/V projects with NGeX Resources in Argentina. Lukas Lundin was buying recently NGeX Resources in the market."

2010-10-26 18:15 ET - News Release
Mr. Michael Hopley reports
SUNRIDGE GOLD RAISES $10 MILLION
Sunridge Gold Corp. has issued 20 million common shares and 10 million common share purchase warrants to raise gross proceeds of $10-million pursuant to a non-brokered private placement previously announced in Stockwatch on Sept. 24, 2010.
The company is pleased to acknowledge the continued support and participation of Lundin Mining Corp. in this private placement, as Lundin exercised its pre-emptive rights and acquired 2,255,728 units.
Each warrant entitles the holder thereof to purchase one common share in the capital of the company at a price of 75 cents until Oct. 26, 2012.
The common shares issued, and any common shares issued pursuant to the exercise of warrants prior to Feb. 27, 2011, are restricted from trading until Feb. 27, 2011.
The company paid finders' fees to persons who introduced it to private placement investors, consisting of $422,800 cash, 467,800 common shares and 158,900 warrants.
The proceeds of the financing will be used to finance the company's work programs at the Asmara project in Eritrea, exploration work at the Besakoa project in Madagascar and for general corporate purposes. Work programs at the Asmara project in Eritrea will include a full feasibility study for the Debarwa high-grade copper-gold deposit, a prefeasibility study for the combined Emba Derho, Adi Nefas, Gupo and Debarwa deposits, and drill programs at the Gupo and Medrizien gold projects."

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Canada Zinc Metals shareholder closer to investing more czx.v, lun.to, tnr.v, bwr.to, cs.to, imn.to, ncu.to, tko.to, wrn.to, qux.to, rio, bls.to, tck

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"Another interesting move by Lundin Mining could be in its core zinc business withCanada Zinc Metals still in the M&A picture. Even after Chinese involvement, company is still at the very attractive levels of valuation. Its Akie deposit represents one of the largest zinc and lead deposits in the world and based in Canada. With recent financing from Tongling, Chinese giant will have more than 30% in Canada Zinc Metals, Lundin Mining is the second largest shareholderafter Tongling now in that company. We were thinking that Mandarin will be the only language for all presentations in that company, but found recently information on the bullboard about Lundin Mining visits to the Akie property - it could be easily confirmed by the management.

"As I have a large shareholding in CZX I stay in regular communication with management. A team from Lundin Mining was up at the property not too long ago. Apparently the visit went very well...don't forget Lukas Lundin is a wheeler and dealer. Trust me - others are knocking too.
Any sophisticated investor (and I know you are one) knows that all it would take is a large pp with another mining company (including Lundin Mining) and the playing field is levelled."

We have mentioned before:

"Among the other developments today, we have mentioned that Lundin Mining has increased its loan facility and the maturity of the loan - will Lukas Lundin go shopping one day to increase his resource base for the next leg up in this commodity bull? He still maintains stake in Canada Zinc Metals along with all Chinese participants - should someone decide to chase this dragon - story could become very interesting."


StockWatch:


Canada Zinc shareholder closer to investing more

2010-10-26 08:11 ET - News Release

Mr. Peeyush Varshney reports

UPDATE ON TONGLING NONFERROUS METALS GROUP HOLDINGS CO. LTD. $18 MILLION PRIVATE PLACEMENT
Further to news in Stockwatch on July 26, 2010, Canada Zinc Metals Corp. has been advised by Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Holdings Co. Ltd. that the State-Owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of Anhui, China, has approved Tongling's application to further invest in Canada Zinc Metals. Tongling will now apply for final approval from the Development and Reform Commission.
Tongling has subscribed, by way of a non-brokered private placement, for 31,386,224 units of Canada Zinc Metals at a price of 57.35 cents per unit for gross proceeds of $18-million. Each unit consists of one common share and one-half of a common share purchase warrant. Each whole warrant shall entitle the purchaser to purchase, at any time within 24 months from closing, one additional common share of the company at a price of 67.5 cents during the first year and at a price of 77.5 cents during the second year. Upon closing of the private placement, Tongling will own approximately a 36.5-per-cent equity interest in Canada Zinc Metals.
Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Holdings Co. Ltd., based in Tongling, Anhui, is a state-owned holding company, and one of China's largest copper smelting companies. Tongling's principal activities are exploration, mining, ore processing, smelting and refining, and products processing of copper, lead, zinc, gold, silver, and other non-ferrous and rare metals.
The financing is subject to receiving the necessary approvals of the relevant Chinese regulatory departments and the TSX Venture Exchange."

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Globe says Lundin Mining target boosted to $8 lun.to, czx.v, tnr.v, mai.to, fcx, rio, bhp, tck, bwr.to, cs.to, imn.to, tko.to, wrn.to, qux.to

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We have first upgrades and boost in a share price target for Lundin Mining after the Tenke Fungurume news.

"Lundin Mining is in no way a junior mining company, will have attention from Majors in the Copper sector. Freeport McMoran - J/V partner on Tenke Fungurume - will be a natural suitor for this Jewell. In our logic it have to attempt at least to buy out the share of Lundin Mining in Tenke Fungurume - otherwise it will be done by others and Chinese, who are very active in DRC, will be backed by the DRC government in this case. An outright bid for all Lundin Mining operations could be in the cards as well.

We believe that Lukas Lundin will have to make his move and show that now - with cash flow from Tenke Fungurume and further expansion of production in DRC - he can build value in Lundin Mining itself. Realisation of the facts, described above, by the market could bring the share price north of CAD10.0 (we will not be surprised to see a target price of this magnitude with company's book value at around CAD5.2 now and E/P at CAD 0.13 in Q2 2010). Lukas will be again in a very favorable position after these very tough few years for the company. He can and should use his currency - shares in the company above CAD10.0 to buy another companies with sizable projects at still undervalued valuations among juniors. He should definitely, in our opinion, to study well opportunities for acquisition in CIBC report. His another company - NGeX Resources is a part of that M&A list with its properties in Argentina, Chile, Africa and Canada is moving up nicely in price these days as well. TNR Gold has a few J/V projects with NGeX Resources in Argentina. Lukas Lundin was buying recently NGeX Resources in the market."


StockWatch:

Globe says Lundin Mining target boosted to $8

2010-10-26 05:45 ET - In the News


The Globe and Mail reports in its Tuesday edition that Lundin Mining jumped 15 cents to finish Monday at $6.90. The Globe's Darcy Keith writes in the Eye On Equities column that Lundin Mining stock has a 52-week range of $2.91 to $7.04. Lundin Mining will now hold a 24-per-cent ownership interest in the Tenke mine following an agreement between Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold and the government of the Democratic Republic of Congo. CIBC World Markets analyst Alec Kodatsky says the deal clears the way for further investment to expand the mine. Mr. Kodatsky boosted his price target by half a buck to $8. UBS Securities Canada analyst Onno Rutten upgraded his rating on Lundin Mining to "buy" from "neutral" with a price target of $5.20 in the Eye column on June 23. The stock was then worth $3.62. TD Securities analyst Greg Barnes maintained Lundin Mining at "buy" in the Eye column on Feb. 24. Lundin Mining stock could then be had for $4.44. Mr. Barnes targeted the stock at $7. The Globe's Allan Robinson wrote on Sept. 18 that Lundin Mining stock still had room to rally. It was then trading at $3.89. The Globe's David Parkinson said Lundin Mining was underpriced on Sept. 2. It was then worth $3.71.



Stockwatch:

FP says HudBay missed a big opportunity with Lundin

2010-10-26 06:03 ET - In the News

See In the News (C-HBM) HudBay Minerals Inc

The Financial Post reports in its Tuesday, Oct. 26, edition that Lundin Mining's successful conclusion of the review of Tenke Fungurume Mining's contracts in the Democratic Republic of Congo must have HudBay Mining shareholders wondering what life would be like now had the Nov. 21, 2008, merger gone through. The Post's Barry Critchley writes that it is a certainty that HudBay shareholders would have ended up a lot better off had the miner been successful in issuing $488-million of stock and buying Lundin. Try about $800-million better off, or $5 to $6 a share given that HudBay has 149 million shares outstanding. HudBay shares closed Monday at $16.39. As of Monday, HudBay has a market cap of $2.44-billion, while Lundin has a cap of $4-billion -- a gap of $1.56-billion. Half the difference, or $780-million, was left on the proverbial table by HudBay shareholders. "By their actions the HudBay shareholders have deprived themselves of an enormous windfall," says an unnamed observer. Another unnamed observer says, "Notwithstanding all the noise at the time, it looks like that the smartest guys in the room were actually" former chief executive officer" Allan Palmiere and the board of HudBay after all."

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The Financial Post says Lundin Mining catches a break with DRC lun.to, czx.v, tnr.v, mai.to, fcx, rio, bhp, bwr.to, cs.to, imn.to, ncu.to, tko.to, wrn.to, qux.to

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  We have the first reaction from the press now. Analyst with new research and target prices to follow. With all recent press for REE Lundin Mining will get more attention later with its Cobalt production and reserves at Tenke Fungurume. Cobalt is used in some chemistries for lithium ion batteries.

"Tenke Fungurume is back and so we are with our pen and paper to share with you this story again. We have another M&A target in the Copper market now back in business. We would expect a new coverage issued on the company and more investment research from Canadian financial institutions with potential upgrades on valuation. Company is up today on volume - chart shows the cup and handle formation - break out to the upside is in the cards with high copper prices. Share price will have to reflect new valuation with settled political uncertainty over this huge copper project in DRC. Country discount will always be there, but the fact that Tenke Fungurume is now producing and will expand its production rate at these prices will drive the valuation."



StockWatch:




2010-10-25 08:43 ET - In the News


The Financial Post reports in its Saturday, Oct. 23, edition that Lundin Mining and Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold have obtained a bit of stability in the Democratic Republic of the Congo after they reached agreement on contract terms with the government covering the massive Tenke Fungurume copper-cobalt mine. The Post's Jonathan Ratner and Peter Koven write that the deal removes a significant political risk overhang over the two companies, and particularly Lundin Mining. The news has been good to Lundin's stock. Last Tuesday, Lundin shares finished at $5.47. On Friday Lundin closed at $6.75. While the new agreement includes some concessions by Freeport and Lundin, analysts do not consider them to be excessively onerous. RBC Capital Markets analyst Fraser Phillips says, "Freeport and Lundin now have the greater confidence level needed to make further capital investments at Tenke, leading the way for them to capture its significant upside potential." Mr. Phillips considers the deal to be a positive catalyst for Lundin. The new arrangement includes an increase in the ownership interest of state-owned Gecamines to 20 per cent from 17.5 per cent, which will come from both Freeport and Lundin."
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Lundin Mining Announces Successful Completion Of Tenke Fungurume Contract Review Process LUN.to, FCX, CZX.v, TNR.v, BHP, MAI.to, RIO, BWR.to, CS.to, IMN.to, NCU.to, TKO.to, WRN.to, QUX.to

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  It seams to be only yesterday and it is so far away - we are living now in the "new normal", but old values are still here. Decoupling is happening these days after the financial crisis. Lundin Mining after years of waiting - and near death experience with stock price at one point below 0.6CAD  in 2009 - has finally received approval of contract for Tenke Fungurume mine from DRC government. 

    As one of our loyal readers from those days mentioned - we have spent a lot of time writing about this project. We came into it after the war in DRC, when Tenke mining was trading at 0.6CAD and we have seen it sold to Lundin Mining at above 20CAD - sweat memories. Then political uncertainty has taken its force in DRC over the project and we visited the story again only a few times. We are writing here mostly about the companies we are interested in and which we own or have owned before as our investment. We never give any investment advise here - only share our journey and travel notes with you. You have to decide always by yourself: what and when to buy, sell or just enjoy the scenery we are writing about. Always consult with qualified financial adviser, who shares you views and investment goals.

Tenke Fungurume is back and so we are with our pen and paper to share with you this story again. We have another M&A target in the Copper market now back in business. We would expect a new coverage issued on the company and more investment research from Canadian financial institutions, with potential upgrades on valuation. Company is up today on volume - chart shows the cup and handle formation - break out to the upside is in the cards with high copper prices. The share price will have to reflect new valuation with settled political uncertainty over this huge copper project in DRC. Country discount will always be there, but the fact that Tenke Fungurume is now producing and will expand its production rate at these prices will drive the valuation.

Lundin Mining presentation: 2010 Bank of America-Merrill Lynch Mining Conference

Tenke Fungurume Video

Lundin Mining will present now a sizable opportunity as a target itself with market cap at 4 billion now. According to CIBC "Be Long What China's Short. M&A will drive this sector activity and we have just a few quality juniors with large copper deposits to go after."

Lundin Mining is in no way a junior mining company, will have attention from Majors in the Copper sector. Freeport McMoran - J/V partner on Tenke Fungurume - will be a natural suitor for this Jewell. In our logic it have to attempt at least to buy out the share of Lundin Mining in Tenke Fungurume - otherwise it will be done by others and Chinese, who are very active in DRC, will be backed by the DRC government in this case. An outright bid for all Lundin Mining operations could be in the cards as well.

We believe that Lukas Lundin will have to make his move and show that now - with cash flow from Tenke Fungurume and further expansion of production in DRC - he can build value in Lundin Mining itself. Realisation of the facts, described above, by the market could bring the share price north of CAD10.0 (we will not be surprised to see a target price of this magnitude with company's book value at around CAD5.2 now and E/P at CAD 0.13 in Q2 2010). Lukas will be again in a very favorable position after these very tough few years for the company. He can and should use his currency - shares in the company above CAD10.0 to buy another companies with sizable projects at still undervalued valuations among juniors. He should definitely, in our opinion, to study well opportunities for acquisition in CIBC report. His another company - NGeX Resources is a part of that M&A list with its properties in Argentina, Chile, Africa and Canada is moving up nicely in price these days as well. TNR Gold has a few J/V projects with NGeX Resources in Argentina. Lukas Lundin was buying recently NGeX Resources in the market.



We won't speculate about Lundin Mining involvement, potentially, in Los Azules story, but will point to the few facts, which are keeping us guessing about the future move.  Lukas was personally involved in TNR Gold as an investor at one point, knows management there very well and Paul Conibear - Senior Vice president of Lundin Mining corporate development - served on the Board of TNR Gold for a few years. By the way - Tenke Fungurume is his baby - we would like to congratulate Paul and all team at Lunidin Mining with this ground breaking achievement for the company. Lukas was investing in Minera Andes before as well, at least before Rob McEwen came into the picture. We do not know, what stake he has now, but he knows the story about Los Azules very well. Rob is more of a gold guy and Lukas knows the basic metals commodity story very well, particularly copper. Will it make sense for Rob to sell Los Azules to Lukas Lundin at the right price after settlement with TNR Gold and clearing the property title?  We do not know at this moment, but any twist in this direction can bring a new dynamic to the all situation regarding Los Azules and its development. It is too early to say more about it at this moment.

Another interesting move by Lundin Mining could be in its core zinc business with Canada Zinc Metals still in the M&A picture. Even after Chinese involvement, company is still at the very attractive levels of valuation. Its Akie deposit represents one of the largest zinc and lead deposits in the world and based in  Canada. With recent financing from Tongling, Chinese giant will have more than 30% in Canada Zinc Metals, Lundin Mining is the second largest shareholder after Tongling now in that company. We were thinking that Mandarin will be the only language for all presentations in that company, but found recently information on the bullboard about Lundin Mining visits to the Akie property - it could be easily confirmed by the management.

"As I have a large shareholding in CZX I stay in regular communication with management. A team from Lundin Mining was up at the property not too long ago. Apparently the visit went very well...don't forget Lukas Lundin is a wheeler and dealer. Trust me - others are knocking too.
Any sophisticated investor (and I know you are one) knows that all it would take is a large pp with another mining company (including Lundin Mining) and the playing field is levelled."

We have mentioned before: 

"Among the other developments today, we have mentioned that Lundin Mining has increased its loan facility and the maturity of the loan - will Lukas Lundin go shopping one day to increase his resource base for the next leg up in this commodity bull? He still maintains stake in Canada Zinc Metals along with all Chinese participants - should someone decide to chase this dragon - story could become very interesting."




The nearest future will show how our Value Web in a very close and interconnected sector will play itself out. Today we can say only one thing - that Lukas Lundin is back after the crisis and he is stronger then ever, our big picture view is the ideal world for his Midas touch. We will expect him making headlines in the nearest future on a different M&A fronts.


Please, do not forget, that we own stocks we are writing about and have position in these companies. We are not providing any investment advise on this blog and there is no solicitation to buy or sell any particular company here. Always consult with your qualified financial adviser before making any investment decisions.







2010-10-22 07:12 ET - News Release

Mr. Phil Wright reports


LUNDIN ANNOUNCES SUCCESSFUL COMPLETION OF TENKE FUNGURUME CONTRACT REVIEW PROCESS



Lundin Mining Corp. has learned the government of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. have successfully concluded the review of Tenke Fungurume Mining's (TFM) contracts. The joint news release reports as follows:



QUOTE



KINSHASA, DRC and PHOENIX, AZ, October (22), 2010 - The government of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (NYSE: FCX) announced today the successful conclusion of the review of Tenke Fungurume Mining's (TFM) contracts. The conclusion of the review process by the DRC government confirms that the Tenke Fungurume contracts are in good standing, and acknowledges the parties' continuing commitment to the rights and benefits granted under the existing TFM contracts.



In connection with the review, the parties will incorporate clarifying language that its rights and obligations are governed by the mining convention. TFM's key fiscal terms, including a 30-per-cent income tax rate, 2-per-cent mining royalty rate and 1-per-cent export fee, will continue to apply and are consistent with the rates in the DRC's current mining code.



His Excellency the Minister of Mines of the DRC and FCX chief executive Richard Adkerson issued the following joint statement: "We are pleased to announce completion of the contract revisitation process for Tenke Fungurume Mining. The parties worked cooperatively to reach a mutually satisfactory conclusion of the issues raised during the process. This important milestone provides the basis for future cooperation and enables TFM to pursue additional investments to develop this massive project to its full potential."



Mr. Adkerson expressed his appreciation to His Excellency the President of the DRC, His Excellence the Minister of Mines and the Minister's staff for their efforts in completing the review. Mr. Adkerson stated: "We are committed to continuing our positive partnership with the DRC government and providing significant benefits to the Congolese people for decades to come. We look forward to continued development of Tenke Fungurume into one of the world's premier copper and cobalt operations, using world-class standards for environmental management and social programs. The project will provide large and sustainable benefits associated with employment, infrastructure development, taxes, royalties and other benefits to the government and Congolese people over its long life."



TFM agreed to several additional commitments, including an increase in Gecamines ownership interest in TFM from 17.5 per cent to 20 per cent; an additional royalty of $1.2-million for each 100,000 metric tonnes of proven and probable copper reserves above 2.5 million metric tonnes; additional payments totalling $30-million to be paid in six instalments upon reaching certain production milestones; conversion of $50-million in intercompany loans to equity; and a payment of $5-million for surface area fees. In addition, TFM has agreed to expand Gecamines's participation in TFM management and reiterated its commitment to the use of local services and Congolese employment. In connection with the agreed modifications, the parties have agreed to increase the annual interest rate on advances from the current rate of LIBOR plus 2 per cent to LIBOR plus 6 per cent. These terms have been agreed to by TFM, its shareholders and the DRC government and will be incorporated into the related agreements.



The Tenke Fungurume mining concessions are located in the Katanga province of the DRC approximately 110 miles northwest of Lubumbashi. Copper production commenced last year on the approximately $2-billion initial development project, the largest such capital investment in the DRC in recent years. Current operations are designed to produce approximately 250 million pounds of copper and 18 million pounds of cobalt per year and the operation is currently being expanded to approximately 290 million pounds of copper per annum starting in 2011. The initial development project was designed and constructed in world-class fashion, using leading-edge technology and following international best practice standards for environmental management, occupational safety and social responsibility. TFM continues to engage in drilling activities, exploration analysis and metallurgical testing, and has commenced feasibility studies to evaluate the potential of this highly prospective mining district that will enable significant future expansion and enhance the long-term partnership with Gecamines, the government of the DRC, and the Congolese people. In the aggregate, through June 30, 2010, tax and related payments to government institutions, transfer bonuses, and social spending within the DRC has totalled approximately $370-million since the project's inception. TFM estimates more than two-thirds of the economic benefits from the project remain in the DRC in the form of taxes, royalties and duties, and the provision of local services."



UNQUOTE



The company notes that the shareholding change benefiting Gecamines will be shared proportionately by Lundin Mining and Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. As a result Lundin Mining's equity interest in TFM will reduce from 24.75 per cent to 24 per cent. The company will benefit from the increase in the annual interest rate on advances from the current rate of LIBOR plus 2 per cent to LIBOR plus 6 per cent.



Commenting on the news, Lukas Lundin, chairman of Lundin Mining, said, "We are very pleased to have achieved this resolution which has important benefits as we and our partners continue to pursue the significant potential of the highly prospective mineral district at Tenke Fungurume."



We seek Safe Harbor."


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